Speculation grows over potential candidates for the Richmond and Northallerton seat amid whispers of Sunak’s departure from parliament

Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, appears to be preparing for a potential shake-up in the political landscape, rumoured to be lining up a “high-profile” candidate to contest Rishi Sunak’s seat in Richmond and Northallerton. This speculation arises as both Sunak and his former Deputy Prime Minister, Sir Oliver Dowden, are expected to leave the Commons next month.

Reports suggest that Farage has received intelligence indicating that Sunak may step down from his role as MP, which he held with a significant majority of 12,185 votes during the July General Election. While sources close to Sunak express scepticism about his resignation, stating they would be “surprised” if he chose to leave, the political landscape is rife with uncertainty. Sunak himself vowed to serve a full term if he lost the election, which adds to the speculation about his future.

Despite the uncertainty, the political atmosphere is charged with possibilities. Should Sunak decide to resign, he has reportedly garnered considerable goodwill within the Conservative Party by maintaining his position while the leadership race unfolds. This situation presents an opportunity for Farage, who is keen on capitalising on any shifts within the party.

Among the names being floated as potential candidates to replace Sunak is Penny Mordaunt, who lost her seat in Portsmouth North earlier this year. However, a source from Reform UK hinted that Farage has two former Tory MPs and one current Tory MP ready to defect and run in the event of a by-election.

The stakes are high for Reform UK, which is currently neck-and-neck with the Conservatives in recent polls. A successful bid to secure Sunak’s seat could provide a substantial boost to Farage’s party, positioning them as a formidable force in the upcoming political landscape. Recent polling data from JL Partners indicates that voters currently hold a more favourable view of Reform UK compared to Labour, with Farage asserting his ambition to emerge as the ruling party’s largest opposition.

Tory leadership hopeful Robert Jenrick has also weighed in on the situation, cautioning the Conservatives about the rising influence of Reform UK. During a recent GB News broadcast, he stressed the importance of addressing immigration issues, stating, “This is the reason that we lost four million of our people to Reform at the general election.” His comments highlight the pressing need for the Conservative Party to regroup and refocus its strategy to reclaim voter confidence.

As the political landscape continues to evolve, all eyes will be on Richmond and Northallerton. With Farage’s ambitions and the potential for significant shifts in party allegiances, the upcoming weeks could prove pivotal in shaping the future of British politics.