Nigel Farage’s reform UK party leads in the latest poll, surpassing both Labour and the Conservatives for the first time

Nigel Farage’s right-wing Reform UK Party has stunned the political landscape in the United Kingdom, emerging as the most popular political party in a recent YouGov poll. For the first time, Reform has surpassed both the Conservative Party and the Labour Party in a major public opinion survey, suggesting a shift in the nation’s political tides.

The poll, conducted on February 2-3, 2025, showed that if a general election were held tomorrow, 25 percent of voters would support Reform, with 24 percent backing Labour and 21 percent choosing the Conservatives. Reform’s narrow lead over Labour is within the poll’s margin of error, indicating a close race, but the shift in support is nonetheless significant.

Reform UK’s rise in popularity appears to be at the expense of the Labour and Conservative Parties, both of which have experienced declines in recent surveys. Labour, which won last year’s election in a landslide, dropped three points compared to the previous poll, while Reform gained two. The Conservatives, long dominant in British politics, also saw a one-point decline, continuing their post-election struggles.

Reform’s increasing popularity is largely attributed to the party’s appeal to former Conservative voters, particularly those disillusioned by recent scandals and the party’s performance. Farage, who has long been a staunch critic of the establishment, has called his party the “real opposition” to the current political order. In December, he boasted that Reform UK had surpassed the Conservatives in membership, solidifying its position as a rising force in British politics.

Farage’s hardline stance on issues like immigration, which includes promises to “freeze immigration” into the UK, has resonated with a segment of the electorate, particularly in the wake of Brexit. Farage, a prominent figure in the Brexit campaign and an ally of former US President Donald Trump, often mirrors Trump’s rhetoric, focusing on national identity and pledging to fix what he describes as a “broken” UK.

The party’s growing influence reflects a broader surge in support for far-right movements across Europe, with Reform UK now joining the ranks of similar parties gaining traction in countries like Germany, where the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has also seen increased support.

In light of the poll results, Farage expressed his satisfaction, stating on social media, “Britain wants reform.” The growing popularity of his party has put Labour Prime Minister Keir Starmer on notice, with the possibility of an early election now looming before the scheduled parliamentary election in August 2029.

As Reform UK’s support continues to build, political analysts are closely watching whether the party can maintain this momentum and secure a stronger foothold in British politics, potentially reshaping the landscape in the years ahead.

SKY NEWS

Reform UK has overtaken Labour in a landmark Sky News/YouGov poll, securing 25% of the vote, compared to Labour’s 24% and the Tories’ 21%. The poll, taken on Sunday and Monday, highlights a shift in British politics, with Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, gaining traction. Notably, 20% of those who voted Conservative in the last election would now support Reform. This shift is seen as a significant challenge for the Tories, who have struggled with leadership and policy direction. Despite the poll being within the margin of error, the symbolic impact of Reform UK leading is significant. Additionally, Kemi Badenoch’s net favourability has declined, placing her behind Farage. The results have reignited discussions within the Conservative Party about a potential merger with Reform UK, a proposal Badenoch has previously rejected.

THE INDEPENDENT

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, has overtaken Labour in a YouGov poll for the first time, securing 25% of the vote compared to Labour’s 24%. The Tories are in third with 21%. The poll shows a rise for Reform UK, up from 23% in January, with Farage’s party now leading in multiple major polls. A significant shift is seen in the electorate, with 60% of Labour voters from the July election now reconsidering their choice, and one in four former Tory voters switching to Reform. Men, in particular, are more likely to back Reform. Additionally, a separate poll indicates that Reform could unseat more Labour MPs than Tories in the next election, with 60 of the projected 76 seats currently held by Labour. Farage predicts the Tories will continue to decline, while Reform UK emerges as a growing force in British politics.